Pre-tourney Rankings
George Mason
Colonial Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#112
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#89
Pace72.1#72
Improvement-0.1#169

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#150
Improvement+1.2#102

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#75
Improvement-1.3#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 215   Rhode Island W 92-90 OT 83%     1 - 0 -4.2 -6.1 +1.5
  Nov 14, 2011 231   Florida International L 76-79 OT 77%     1 - 1 -6.8 -6.8 +0.3
  Nov 15, 2011 291   Monmouth W 71-39 86%     2 - 1 +24.3 -9.3 +31.8
  Nov 19, 2011 208   @ Florida Atlantic L 75-80 OT 61%     2 - 2 -4.0 -1.0 -2.7
  Nov 21, 2011 308   Brown W 74-48 94%     3 - 2 +12.6 +0.6 +14.3
  Nov 22, 2011 202   Albany W 66-46 81%     4 - 2 +14.6 -11.8 +27.2
  Nov 30, 2011 106   Bucknell W 61-57 62%     5 - 2 +5.0 -5.0 +10.5
  Dec 03, 2011 331   @ Towson W 65-53 91%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +1.1 +2.3 +1.2
  Dec 06, 2011 31   @ Virginia L 48-68 17%     6 - 3 -5.7 -7.4 -1.1
  Dec 10, 2011 313   @ Radford W 76-61 86%     7 - 3 +7.2 +2.8 +4.3
  Dec 21, 2011 114   Duquesne L 64-75 64%     7 - 4 -10.7 -13.5 +3.5
  Dec 23, 2011 127   Manhattan W 81-61 68%     8 - 4 +19.2 +3.7 +14.2
  Dec 30, 2011 168   @ College of Charleston W 84-76 53%     9 - 4 +11.3 +9.5 +1.3
  Jan 02, 2012 290   William & Mary W 70-56 91%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +2.9 -1.8 +6.3
  Jan 05, 2012 107   @ Old Dominion W 63-54 36%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +16.6 +3.0 +14.4
  Jan 07, 2012 98   Georgia St. W 61-58 59%     12 - 4 4 - 0 +4.6 -6.4 +11.0
  Jan 12, 2012 63   @ Drexel L 53-60 25%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +3.9 -4.5 +7.2
  Jan 14, 2012 249   @ James Madison W 89-83 71%     13 - 5 5 - 1 +4.3 -0.4 +3.7
  Jan 18, 2012 166   Delaware W 89-63 76%     14 - 5 6 - 1 +22.7 +9.2 +12.0
  Jan 21, 2012 331   Towson W 72-60 97%     15 - 5 7 - 1 -5.7 -7.1 +1.4
  Jan 23, 2012 236   UNC Wilmington W 67-61 86%     16 - 5 8 - 1 -1.8 -10.2 +8.4
  Jan 25, 2012 218   @ Hofstra W 55-50 64%     17 - 5 9 - 1 +5.3 -12.0 +17.7
  Jan 28, 2012 249   James Madison W 89-79 88%     18 - 5 10 - 1 +1.5 +6.8 -5.8
  Feb 01, 2012 166   @ Delaware L 60-65 52%     18 - 6 10 - 2 -1.5 -13.8 +12.4
  Feb 04, 2012 107   Old Dominion W 54-50 62%     19 - 6 11 - 2 +4.8 -14.7 +19.5
  Feb 08, 2012 218   Hofstra W 72-62 84%     20 - 6 12 - 2 +3.5 -1.9 +5.6
  Feb 11, 2012 236   @ UNC Wilmington W 75-69 69%     21 - 6 13 - 2 +5.0 +1.7 +3.3
  Feb 14, 2012 52   Virginia Commonwealth W 62-61 47%     22 - 6 14 - 2 +5.9 -8.7 +14.6
  Feb 18, 2012 102   Lamar W 75-71 60%     23 - 6 +5.3 +2.1 +3.2
  Feb 22, 2012 200   @ Northeastern L 82-85 OT 60%     23 - 7 14 - 3 -1.5 +2.3 -3.5
  Feb 25, 2012 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 77-89 23%     23 - 8 14 - 4 -0.3 +5.0 -4.4
  Mar 03, 2012 98   Georgia St. W 61-59 46%     24 - 8 +7.0 -1.8 +8.9
  Mar 04, 2012 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 64-74 34%     24 - 9 -1.7 +1.8 -4.4
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%